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Titel
Probabilistic Frost Prediction of the Blooming Period in South Tyrol
VerfasserStreatfeild, Jack
Betreuer / BetreuerinMayr, Georg
Erschienen2016
HochschulschriftInnsbruck, Univ., Masterarb., 2016
Anmerkung
Arbeit an der Bibliothek noch nicht eingelangt - Daten nicht geprüft
Datum der AbgabeJuli 2016
SpracheEnglisch
DokumenttypMasterarbeit
Schlagwörter (EN)probabilistic / frost / prediction / logistic regression / South Tyrol
URNurn:nbn:at:at-ubi:1-4508 Persistent Identifier (URN)
Zugriffsbeschränkung
 Das Werk ist frei verfügbar
Dateien
Probabilistic Frost Prediction of the Blooming Period in South Tyrol [1.59 mb]
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Zusammenfassung (Deutsch)

During spring season in the autonomous province of South Tyrol frost events can cause major damage to fruit crops, which are essential to the regional agriculture and economy. Water sprinklers may prevent damage under particular local atmospheric conditions determined by air temperature (Tair), wet-bulb temperature (Twb) and wind speed (v). The aim of this thesis is to create statistical models that provide binary and ordered probabilistic forecasts of these variables for the forthcoming 24 hours to assist in keeping the cost of such events to a minimum.

The data for the three predictands comes from the automatic weather station

in Schlanders covering the months Feb-Apr from 2010 to 2014. The frequency of Tair below

Zusammenfassung (Englisch)

During spring season in the autonomous province of South Tyrol frost events can cause major damage to fruit crops, which are essential to the regional agriculture and economy. Water sprinklers may prevent damage under particular local atmospheric conditions determined by air temperature (Tair), wet-bulb temperature (Twb) and wind speed (v). The aim of this thesis is to create statistical models that provide binary and ordered probabilistic forecasts of these variables for the forthcoming 24 hours to assist in keeping the cost of such events to a minimum.

The data for the three predictands comes from the automatic weather station

in Schlanders covering the months Feb-Apr from 2010 to 2014. The frequency of Tair below